Political boffin, keen fisherman looking forward to retirement.

Friday, May 11, 2007

Brown for Britain!


If I was a London Labour strategist I'd use the coronation of Gordon Brown as the beginning of a 100 day war leading into the annual Labour Conference before using the new leaders speech to call a snap election.


Politically it has a lot of advantages. It enables the new PM to launch a short term policy blitz with plenty of electoral sweeteners; it will catch the Tories unprepared - there is no way that they will have produced a coherent programme of government by the Autumn; and Brown will invariably be on a honeymoon.


The one major problem for Labour is that the bank is empty - £20m in the red. They haven't the war chest to match the Tories at present.


If they went early I think Labour could win an overall majority. If Brown decides to serve another two/three years, the Tories will overtake Labour. The question is will there be enough Lib Dems left in Parliament to make up the numbers for a Lib - Lab arrangement.


We live in interesting times as they say.

2 comments:

Pads said...

"We live in interesting times"

Reputededly an ancient Chinese curse.

Ted Jones said...

Let's hope it is for Labour